Looming US Supreme Court Climate Decision Could 'Doom' Hope for Livable Future

Amid widespread outrage over recent rulings, the U.S. Supreme Court is expected to issue another decision this week that legal experts and activists warn could imperil the Biden administration's climate goals and thus, the planet itself.

"The public health and environmental consequences would be profoundly damaging to human health, the planet, and future generations."

West Virginia v. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA)--one of the few remaining cases from this term--is "the most consequential climate case in decades," Sierra Club said Monday.

If the court's right-wing supermajority sides with GOP attorneys general over the EPA in this case, it could strip the federal agency of its authority to limit planet-heating pollution from power plants--and a sweeping ruling from the justices could go even further.

"The immediate issue is the limits of the EPA's ability to regulate greenhouse gases. The broader issue is the ability of federal agencies to regulate anything at all," explained physicist Robert Rohde, lead scientist at the nonprofit Berkeley Earth, in a series of tweets Monday.

"Conservatives have long wanted to reduce the ability of the federal agencies to impose regulations, and this case provides the Supreme Court a chance to do that," he added. "If they do, it could have far-reaching and long-lasting consequences."

U.S. Sen. Jeff Merkley (D-Ore.) similarly warned earlier this month of a ruling that "would gut the EPA's authority to combat climate chaos--it could let corporations harm our health and the environment without consequences."

"This could be the latest in a long line of dangerous decisions pushed by extremist justices to let corporations exploit their workers, their customers, and our shared future to get even richer," he said.

Policy researcher Will Stancil on Sunday also tied the looming decision to the current justices' track record, anticipating a ruling that sides with the Republican AGs to some degree.

"The Supreme Court's legacy this term: forcing women to bear children, forcing families to raise those children in a society awash in guns, and forcing those children to grow up in a world of runaway climate change," Stancil said.

"What an utterly villainous institution," he continued, "unleashing untold suffering on future generations, for no good reason other than pursue their own poisonous social resentments."

Concerns about the case have mounted since the court agreed to hear it last October. When oral arguments began in March, Jason Rylander, an attorney at the Center for Biological Diversity's Climate Law Institute, said that if the justices block the EPA from addressing "deadly" pollution, then President Joe Biden "must lead the way on court reform to halt this power grab."

The high court's recent rulings--particularly on reproductive freedom and gun control--are already driving fresh demands for Democrats in Congress and Biden to swiftly expand the court.

Polling released last week by Data for Progress and Evergreen Action suggests a decision antagonistic toward climate action and environmental protections would further fuel calls to add more justices, given that majorities of Democratic, Independent, and Republican voters are somewhat or very concerned about the impact of air and water pollution on their communities.

A majority of respondents also said they are somewhat or very concerned about the Supreme Court removing environmental protections established under the Clean Air Act--a provision of which is the focus of the case. A majority of voters further believe the EPA should "be allowed to regulate air pollution that contributes to climate change."

Georgetown University law professor William Buzbee toldThe Hill Saturday that if the justices take away the EPA's ability to limit emissions, "that will be a major loss of climate progress and it also will be a major reason to further distrust the Supreme Court as a highly political Supreme Court that's more about power and less about law."

This case isn't just significant for the impact it could have on the federal government's efforts to battle the climate emergency. As The New York Timesreported earlier this month:

West Virginia v. EPA, No. 20-1530 on the court docket, is also notable for the tangle of connections between the plaintiffs and the Supreme Court justices who will decide their case. The Republican plaintiffs share many of the same donors behind efforts to nominate and confirm five of the Republicans on the bench--John G. Roberts, Samuel A. Alito Jr., Neil M. Gorsuch, Brett M. Kavanaugh, and Amy Coney Barrett.

"It's a pincer move," said Lisa Graves, executive director of the progressive watchdog group True North Research and a former senior Justice Department official. "They are teeing up the attorneys to bring the litigation before the same judges that they handpicked."

The pattern is repeated in other climate cases filed by the Republican attorneys general and now advancing through the lower courts: The plaintiffs are supported by the same network of conservative donors who helped former President Donald J. Trump place more than 200 federal judges, many now in position to rule on the climate cases in the coming year.

If the federal judiciary delivers wins to right-wing plaintiffs in these pending cases, the Times added, it will lead to limits on climate action by a country that "has pumped more planet-warming gases into the atmosphere than any other nation," and "would quite likely doom the world's goal of cutting enough emissions to keep the planet from heating up more than an average of 1.5degC compared with the preindustrial age."

Experts such as pediatrician and epidemiologist Lynn Goldman, dean of George Washington University's Milken Institute School of Public Health, have shared similar warnings.

As she put it last week: "If the Supreme Court limits the EPA's authority to regulate pollutants like carbon dioxide, the public health and environmental consequences would be profoundly damaging to human health, the planet, and future generations."