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"Higher temperatures in the U.K. are contributing to more severe heatwaves, droughts, and wildfires but also more intense rainfall events and associated flooding," said one climate scientist.
Last year was the hottest year on record in the United Kingdom, the national meteorological service reported Thursday, emphasizing that the human-caused climate emergency was what drove the country to see record-breaking heat last summer and an annual average temperature of 50°F, or 10.03°C.
Experts at the Met Office expect to see average yearly temperatures above 10°C as frequently as every three to four years as fossil fuel extraction and carbon emissions persist, while "in a natural climate" without human-induced planetary heating, such temperatures "would occur around once every 500 years," according to climate attribution scientist Nikos Christidis.
"It reinforces what scientists have been saying for decades now, that climate change is real and is happening."
Signs that the U.K. was experiencing an unusually hot year were evident last summer, when the country experienced temperatures above 104°F (40°C) for the first time ever.
"Human-caused climate change explains the unprecedented nature of the summer heatwave in the U.K. as well as the sustained warmth seen throughout most of 2022," Richard Allan, professor of climate science at the University of Reading, said in a statement.
Christidis said the Met Office used "climate models to compare the likelihood of a U.K. mean temperature of 10°C in both the current climate and with historical human climate influences removed."
"Climate change made this around 160 times more likely," the Met Office said of the unusually high average temperature.
\u201cThe 2022 UK annual mean temperature was 10.03\u00b0C, the highest in records dating back to 1884. \n\nThis made the year 0.89\u00b0C above the 1991-2020 average and 0.15\u00b0C higher than the previous record of 9.88\u00b0C set in 2014.\n\n\ud83e\uddf52/4\u201d— Met Office (@Met Office) 1672908708
Stephan Harrison, professor of climate and environmental change at the University of Exeter, called the Met Office's report "extremely significant."
"It reinforces what scientists have been saying for decades now, that climate change is real and is happening, and it supports the arguments that change is likely to be faster over the land masses of the Northern Hemisphere than almost anywhere else," said Harrison. "The impacts of continued warming on agriculture and ecosystems will be profound."
The Met Office released its findings for 2022 as countries across Europe reported unusually warm winter weather, with ski resorts across the Alps shutting down during what's normally the height of skiing season.
"Climate change is at work," Laurent Reynaud, managing director of Domaines Skiables de France, the national body representing ski resorts, toldCNN Wednesday as he explained that about half of France's 7,500 ski slopes are closed due to "a lack of snow and a lot of rain."
Latvia, Lithuania, the Netherlands, and Poland are among the European countries that reported record warm temperatures on the first day of the new year this week.
Countries across the continent faced numerous extreme weather events last year that scientists said were made far more likely by fossil fuel emissions and their effects on the planet.
Extreme heat across Western Europe was blamed for more than 20,000 excess deaths, while heavy rains triggered a landslide that killed at least a dozen people on Italy's island of Ischia.
"Higher temperatures in the U.K. are contributing to more severe heatwaves, droughts, and wildfires but also more intense rainfall events and associated flooding," said Allan, "and these impacts will become progressively worse until global temperatures are stabilized by cutting global carbon emissions to net zero."
The hottest year in recorded history is coming to a close with a wave of extreme weather and ecosystem shifts, from unprecedented flooding in the United Kingdom to dangerous deluges in South America.
Looking back at 2015, it is clear that such extremes are not the exception but have been the rule for the past 365 days and beyond. Such weather is linked to this year's exceptionally strong El Nino and human-made global warming.
Communities on the frontlines of climate change have long warned that resultant floods, droughts, and mega-storms are already bringing death, displacement, and food insecurity to people across the globe, particularly those who are poor, Indigenous, or living in the global south.
Here are ten freakish weather extremes in 2015 that raised the alarm about climate chaos in 2016 and beyond and underscored the urgency of strong and effective adaptation, mitigation, and emissions reduction policies.
1. An Arctic heat wave at the end of December caused temperatures at the North Pole to spike 60 degrees Fahrenheit above the norm for the season, soaring past the freezing point and making the region hotter than cities across the United States and Europe.
2. In late December, this winter's El Nino caused severe floods across South America, including in Paraguay, Uruguay, Brazil, and Argentina. The floods displaced over 150,000 people.
3. Heavy rains this week caused the Mississippi River and its tributaries to overflow, touching off historic flooding in the U.S. Midwest. Climate scientists say that one of the most remarkable things about the deluge is the timing. "Never before has water this high been observed in winter along the river's levee system," meteorologist Jeff Masters explained.
4. South Africa is experiencing its worst drought in a generation, with soaring temperatures and paltry rainfalls believed to be worsened by El Nino. While the long-term impacts are not immediately known, according to UN estimates, at least 29 million people in southern African nations face food insecurity.
5. Due to a prolonged and ongoing drought in Ethiopia, more than 10 million people are in need of emergency food aid.
6. In November, over 1.1 million people were impacted--and 40,000 displaced--after a powerful and rare cyclone dumped a year's worth of rain on Yemen. Humanitarian groups warned that the impact on residents was worsened by Saudi Arabia's seven-month bombing campaign that continued through the storm.
7. In October, a mega-typhoon known as Lando hit the Philippines, affecting over 1.2 million people and killing dozens. In November, 20,000 people declared at a mass march in Tacloban that "our survival is non-negotiable," calling attention to the ongoing harm from the separate Super Typhoon Yolanda (also known as Haiyan), which hit the Philippines in 2013.
8. This summer, A dramatic heat wave across the Middle East caused temperatures in Iran to soar so high it felt like 160 degrees Fahrenheit. Even accounting for regional standards, temperatures spiked from Egypt to Syria. Thousands took to the streets across Iraq, protesting dangerous power cuts, clean water shortages, and poor living conditions that were worsening the effects.
9. Pakistan this summer suffered its deadliest heat wave ever recorded, with at least 2,000 lives lost. And in neighboring India, a heat wave this summer killed at least 2,500 people. "Let us not fool ourselves that there is no connection between the unusual number of deaths from the ongoing heat wave and the certainty of another failed monsoon," India's earth sciences minister, Harsh Vardhan, said in June. "It's not just an unusually hot summer, it is climate change," he said.
10. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration concluded earlier this month that climate change is already driving profound shifts in the Arctic ecosystem. For example, the agency reported that the loss of sea ice and climbing temperatures in the Barents Sea, off the coast of Norway and Russia, are causing "a poleward shift in fish communities. " These changes are impacting wildlife and Indigenous communities that rely on them for their survival.
But perhaps most alarming are developments that cannot be seen. NOAA revealed in May that, for the first time in recorded history, global carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere averaged over 400 parts per million (ppm) for an entire month--in March 2015. Scientists have warned that CO2 must be brought down to a maximum of 350 ppm to achieve safe levels.
As Erika Spanger-Siegfried of the Union of Concerned Scientists recently noted, climate change is causing all of these extremes.
"The specifics of what's happening where El Nino, Arctic dynamics, and underlying warming meet are, in a word, complex, and scientists are actively discussing how things might play out," explained Spanger-Siegfried. "But the collective bottom line recognizes that global warming plays a role."
Meanwhile, in a statement released this week, the humanitarian organization Oxfam International estimated that "the El Nino weather system could leave tens of millions of people facing hunger, water shortages, and disease next year if early action isn't taken to prepare vulnerable people from its effects."
2015 is on track to be the hottest year in recorded history, and this December, hundreds of world governments will meet in Paris to try to strike a global climate agreement. It will be the biggest gathering since 2009, potentially a big deal for our global movement.
"No matter what happens in the negotiating halls, we must build power to hold them accountable to the principles of justice and science."
In Paris, our governments are supposed to agree on a shared target for climate action based on the national plans they have been putting together all year. However, the numbers just don't add up. Everything being discussed will allow too many communities that have polluted the least to be devastated by floods, rising sea levels, and other disasters.
This has the makings of a global failure of ambition--and at a moment when renewable energy is becoming a revolutionary economic force that could power a just transition away from fossil fuels. Click here to join us in telling world leaders to keep fossil fuels underground and finance a just transition to 100% renewable energy by 2050.
Our movement has grown tremendously--and it shows every time a new leader stands up to declare we must keep fossil fuels under ground, or a university, church or pension fund divests from fossil fuels. The problem is the power of the fossil fuel industry.
The Paris negotiations could signal that world governments are serious about keeping fossil fuels in the ground. If they fail, it will embolden the fossil fuel industry and expose more communities to toxic extraction and climate disasters.
The solutions are obvious: we need to stop digging up and burning fossil fuels, start building renewable energy everywhere we can, and ensure communities on the front lines of climate change have the resources they need to respond to the crisis.
This could be a turning point--if we push for it. Click here to join our global call for action to world governments, telling them to commit to keeping at least 80% of fossil fuels underground and financing a just transition to 100% renewable energy by 2050.
The time for feeling powerless in the face of climate chaos is over. No matter what happens in the negotiating halls, we must build power to hold them accountable to the principles of justice and science.
After many months of consultation with our global network, here is the plan for what I call "The Road Through Paris": the plan to grow our movement and hold world leaders accountable to the action we need.
"The solutions are obvious: we need to stop digging up and burning fossil fuels, start building renewable energy everywhere we can, and make sure communities on the front lines of climate change have the resources they need to respond to the crisis."
First, we will launch a global framework in September to grow the movement before and after the Paris talks. On September 10th, Bill McKibben, Naomi Klein, and others will be joined by global movement leaders in New York City to lay out our vision for the road ahead. Then, on September 26th, communities across the globe will hold workshops to plan for the coming months of action. After that, we'll see several months of escalating activity as communities drive the message home that we can't wait for action.
The talks in Paris start on November 30th and run for 2 weeks. But before the talks start, the world will stand together in a weekend of global action, paired with an enormous march in the streets of Paris. During the talks, 350's team on the ground will do their best to help keep you in the loop on the most important developments. And when the talks wrap up, we're planning a big action in Paris on December 12th to ensure the people--not the politicians--have the last word.
But most importantly, we won't stop there. Please mark your calendars for April 2016. That's when we will mobilize in a global wave of action unlike any we've seen before. Not one big march in one city, not a scattering of local actions--but rather a wave of historic national and continent-wide mobilizations targeting the fossil fuel projects that must be kept in the ground and backing the energy solutions that will take their place.
In the 6 years 350.org has been around, this is the most ambitious plan we've ever proposed. But ambition is called for, along with courage, faith in each other, and the readiness to respond when disaster strikes, plans change, or politicians fail to lead.
We are nearer than ever to the changes we've been fighting to see. I hope to see them through with you in the coming months.