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A new United Nations report sounds alarm "over the millions of lives that are being shattered and the decades of development efforts that are being wiped out," said one official.
A United Nations report published Tuesday estimates that Israel's relentless bombardment and siege of the Gaza Strip has erased nearly seven decades of human development progress in just over a year, jeopardizing "the future of Palestinians for generations to come."
The report, produced by the U.N. Development Programme (UNDP) and the U.N. Economic and Social Commission for Western Asia (UNESCWA) estimates that Gaza's poverty rate will surge to 74.3% this year—with over 2.6 million people newly impoverished—and the enclave's Human Development Index (HDI) will drop to 1955 levels.
The HDI is a measure that includes life expectancy at birth, education, and standard of living.
Since Israel's latest war on Gaza began in the wake of the Hamas-led attack on October 7, 2024, the enclave has been transformed into a "graveyard for children" and a "vast wasteland of rubble and twisted steel," with schools, homes, hospitals, markets, sanitation facilities, and other civilian infrastructure utterly destroyed by Israeli airstrikes—often carried out with U.S. weaponry.
The new U.N. report observes that since last October, dozens of people have died of malnutrition and "there has been a high risk of famine in the Gaza Strip in the context of the ongoing war and the restriction of humanitarian access."
"Hunger and malnutrition among mothers and babies is hugely harmful to children's survival, growth, and development," the report states. "Across Gaza, 93% of children and 96% of pregnant and breastfeeding women are consuming fewer food groups daily, leading to households skipping meals."
The report also highlights Israel's destruction of Gaza's healthcare and education systems.
UNDP estimates that as of last month, 625,000 students in the enclave "have no access to education" and at least 10,317 students and 416 educational staff had been killed in Gaza. Schools that have not been destroyed have been turned into shelters for displaced people—shelters that Israeli forces have targeted repeatedly.
"Even if humanitarian aid is provided each year, the economy may not regain its pre-crisis level for a decade or more."
The new analysis warns that even if a permanent cease-fire is achieved in the near future—a scenario that does not appear likely—infectious diseases that have spread due to Israel's bombing of healthcare, sanitation, and water infrastructure are expected to remain a dire threat to the people of Gaza.
"Cholera, measles, polio, and meningococcal meningitis pose the greatest threats," the U.N. bodies said Tuesday. "Even if the war ended immediately, the time required to restore functioning health services would still result in thousands of excess deaths. Lack of access to clean drinking water and sanitation facilities creates significant health risks for all, and can exacerbate the situation."
Achim Steiner, a UNDP administrator, said in a statement that the report's findings "confirm that amidst the immediate suffering and horrific loss of life, a serious development crisis is also unfolding."
"The assessment indicates that, even if humanitarian aid is provided each year, the economy may not regain its pre-crisis level for a decade or more," said Steiner. "As conditions on the ground allow, the Palestinian people need a robust early recovery strategy embedded in the humanitarian assistance phase, laying foundations for a sustainable recovery."
People who were injured during an Israeli attack on the Jabalia refugee camp await treatment at Al-Ahli Arab hospital on October 21, 2024. (Photo: Omar Al-Qattaa/AFP via Getty Images)
ESCWA's executive secretary, Rola Dashti, said that "our assessments serve to sound the alarm over the millions of lives that are being shattered and the decades of development efforts that are being wiped out."
"It is high time to end the suffering and bloodshed that have engulfed our region," Dashti added. "We must unite to find a lasting solution where all peoples can live in peace, dignity, and reap the benefit of sustainable development, and where international law and justice are finally upheld."
Ahead of the U.N. report's release, Norwegian Refugee Council (NRC) secretary-general Jan Egeland announced that members of his organization's staff are visiting Gaza City this week to witness "the utter devastation there as a result of Israeli bombardment."
"The scale of destruction is truly shocking," said Egeland, adding that NRC staffers "were able to speak with those who had fled North Gaza, most of which is under tight siege."
"Testimonies they heard from people there," Egeland continued, "included elderly parents unable to reach the bodies of their dead children for burial, of the sick and desperate with zero access to essential medicine, and of people now destitute having spent entire life savings just trying to survive."
Like Lyndon B. Johnson, Biden committed a foreign policy mistake that threw his significant domestic wins into the shade.
Presidents have two major legacies, on domestic policy and on foreign policy. Big foreign policy mistakes can throw even gargantuan domestic wins into the shade. President Lyndon Baines Johnson reshaped the United States with his Great Society programs, and at least acquiesced in finally ending Jim Crow racial discrimination. Johnson’s obsession with winning the Vietnam War and his investment in the false “domino theory” of the spread of Communism, however, doomed his presidency and harmed the United States for decades.
I’m old, so I remember as a teenager watching Johnson on March 31, 1968 come on television and announce that he would not seek another term in office. Unfortunately, the Vietnam War would grind on until 1972, taking two million or more Vietnamese lives and 58,220 U.S. military casualties. By 1975 the U.S. would withdraw entirely, amid chaos.
I was reminded of LBJ’s resignation speech by U.S. President Joe Biden’s announcement on Sunday that he would not seek another term.
Biden’s extreme backing for Netanyahu’s genocide has left an indelible stain on his presidency and has harmed U.S. diplomacy around the world.
Much to the annoyance of my leftist friends, I once suggested that Biden would be the most consequential president since Lyndon Johnson. I’m reprinting my reasoning below. Those achievements, however, were domestic.
Like Johnson, Biden has provoked massive campus protests by going all in on a ruinous foreign misadventure. In Biden’s case, the great white whale has been the destruction of Hamas, and his albatross has been his “bear hug” of the extremist government of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.
Biden has resupplied Israel with ammunition and weaponry in real time to allow Netanyahu and his far, far right cronies (the Israeli equivalents of Neo-Nazis) to destroy much of Gaza’s civilian infrastructure and to kill over 38,000 Palestinians, the majority of them women and children. Biden’s State Department has avoided concluding that Israel has misused U.S. weaponry to commit war crimes, making a mockery of the Leahy Act. Biden has attempted to create a U.S. shield of impunity for Netanyahu, even calling a United Nations Security Council cease-fire resolution “nonbinding” (it was binding). The International Criminal Court found on January 26 that South Africa’s genocide case against Israel was plausibly brought and ordered a halt to such activities, but to no effect. Biden himself disputed the numbers of dead Palestinians at first, but later admitted that 30,000 had been killed, going on to say, “It must not be 60,000.” He drew a red line around Rafah, but Netanyahu made a laughingstock out of him by simply ignoring U.S. strictures and destroying Rafah the way he had previously destroyed Gaza City.
Biden’s extreme backing for Netanyahu’s genocide has left an indelible stain on his presidency and has harmed U.S. diplomacy around the world.
The president has only a few months to make at least some amends for his catastrophic Gaza policy. He should restore funding to the U.N. Reliefs and Works Agency, which Israel falsely accused of being a Hamas front. Even Britain has restored funding, but Biden remains the odd man out.
Biden should cut off shipments to Israel of further munitions unless Netanyahu gets out of Gaza and lets the Palestine Authority move in to govern it.
Biden should massively sanction the Israeli enterprise of squatting on ever more Palestinian land in the West Bank.
As for his domestic legacy, I wrote in 2022:
Biden came into office under the cloud of the pandemic and former President Donald Trump’s lackadaisical response to it, which resulted in hundreds of thousands of deaths. It is true that Biden had the advantage that the vaccines had been developed, in part with Trump’s investment in Moderna. (Pfizer marketed the German Biontech vaccine). But under Trump, few federal resources had been mobilized and one leak suggested that Jared Kushner deliberately hurt New York’s response to punish it for voting Democratic.
Biden mobilized the U.S. military to provide vaccinators, because there were too few civilian ones, and coordinated with states and localities. In six months he got those adults vaccinated who were willing, and began the process whereby getting Covid-19 for most of people was no longer life-threatening. As for the die hard Trumpist old people who refuse to get vaccinated, they are harming themselves and those around them.
Biden’s pandemic intervention is estimated to have saved a million lives.
Biden put America back to work, getting the unemployment rate down to levels not seen since the Woodstock Music Festival and the craze for paisley.
So much production had temporarily cut back during the pandemic that when consumers wanted to buy again, there were bottlenecks that caused inflation. These supply problems are easing, though prices of staples remain too high. In some instances, Russian President Vladimir Putin’s war on Ukraine caused spikes that won’t be easy to overcome, both in energy prices and in wheat prices. Still, gasoline prices have fallen steadily for two months now.
Biden charged the Department of the Interior to jumpstart the U.S. offshore wind industry, with a goal of 30 gigawatts by 2030, by leasing federal waters offshore to private companies. We will see some new, enormous wind farms come on line in as little as four years, some of the biggest in the world.
Biden glad-handed and wheedled to get the bipartisan $1.2 trillion Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act passed, which will among other things build out electric vehicle charging stations throughout the country and help schools buy electric buses, along with investments in bridges (10% of which seem to be on the verge of falling down) and other key infrastructure. It even has $65 billion in it to ease access for all Americans to the internet, which should increase productivity.
Biden got a new industrial policy with the $52 billion in the CHIPS Act for revving up a U.S.-based semi-conductor industry, which is key to progress in fighting climate change, as well. He arranged funding for veterans suffering the after-effects of toxic burn pits in Iraq and Afghanistan.
...He succeeded in encouraging Democrats in the Senate to pass the Inflation Reduction Act... with $369 billion for the green energy transition. It will also make seniors’ medicines cheaper and help the 40% of the country stricken by long-term drought owing to the climate emergency adopt resiliency measures.
"Even if their homes stay dry, disruptive flooding of vital infrastructure could leave people essentially stranded within their communities or enduring intolerable and even unlivable conditions."
As Americans endure extreme heat and wildfires exacerbated by fossil fuel-driven climate change, an analysis revealed Tuesday that rising seas threaten infrastructure critical for millions of people in hundreds of U.S. communities.
The Union of Concerned Scientists (UCS) report notes that "the nearly 90 million people living in U.S. coastal communities depend on an array of critical infrastructure," which the group defined as "assets and facilities that provide functions necessary to sustain daily life," including "schools, hospitals, public and affordable housing, energy infrastructure, and wastewater treatment plants."
"We also include known sites of industrial contamination that, if they were to flood, could expose people to toxic or hazardous pollutants," UCS explained. "The resulting list of critical infrastructure analyzed here is in some instances more expansive than the types included in the U.S. government's definition but does not include all the types that are likely of concern to individual communities."
Kristina Dahl, the report's lead author and a principal climate scientist at UCS, pointed out in a statement that "if these facilities are flooded even just once, it can be incredibly disruptive or even paralyzing to daily life."
"Communities don't have long to prepare before their vital coastal assets are routinely under threat from climate change-caused flooding," she said. "Our analysis shows that by 2030, the amount of critical infrastructure at risk of repeat flooding along U.S. coastlines is expected to grow by 20% compared to 2020 conditions."
The group analyzed three scenarios for the rest of this century—seas rising by 1.6 feet, 3.2 feet, and 6.5 feet—and also found that "between now and 2050, climate change-driven sea-level rise will expose more than 1,600 critical infrastructure assets coastwide to disruptive flooding at least twice per year."
That's "a near doubling from 2020 exposure and a 53% increase relative to 2030 exposure," the report states. "Of those assets, nearly 1,100 are expected to flood monthly, on average, in this time frame."
The states facing the highest threats of disruptive flooding are Louisiana, New Jersey, Florida, Maryland, and California. Already, some insurance companies are bailing on coastal communities due to the rising disaster risk. The new publication says that "future flooding particularly threatens public and affordable housing."
Erika Spanger, a report co-author and director of strategic climate analytics at UCS, noted that "even if their homes stay dry, disruptive flooding of vital infrastructure could leave people essentially stranded within their communities or enduring intolerable and even unlivable conditions."
The document highlights that "this burden is borne inequitably: More than half the infrastructure at risk by 2050 is in communities at a disadvantage based on historical and ongoing racism, discrimination, and pollution."
"The amount of infrastructure in jeopardy late this century will depend heavily on countries' choices about global heat-trapping emissions," the publication stresses. "Policymakers and public and private decision-makers must take immediate, science-based steps to safeguard critical infrastructure and achieve true, long-term coastal resilience."
The report includes sections for six specific recommendations:
"There is a narrow window of time for federal, state, and local policymakers to provide funding and resources and for local
decision-makers to use this backing to implement changes in their communities in preparation for an inevitable increase of regular disruptive flooding," the document warns. "Investments in resilience, equitably shared, can help build a safer, fairer future for all."